https://backtestd.com/en/videos/moving-average-trend-following-tested-explained/https://backtestd.com/media/en/moving-average-trend-following-tested-explained.jpgWhat is a golden cross? (part 1)This is Bitcoin. One candle is one day. The fast average: the mean price of the last 20 days. The slow average: the last 50 days. It moves more slowly. When the fast one crosses above the slow one, traders buy. That's a golden cross. When it crosses back below, they sell. That's a death cross.https://backtestd.com/media/en/moving-average-trend-following-tested-explained.mp4352026-10-26T16:55:01+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/moving-average-trend-following-tested/https://backtestd.com/media/en/moving-average-trend-following-tested.jpgMoving-average trend following: we tested 1249 versionsMoving-average trend following: 1249 versions tested on 41 markets over 2.7 years, fees included. 86% made money.https://backtestd.com/media/en/moving-average-trend-following-tested.mp4752026-10-26T18:37:05+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/ny-open-12-ema-nasdaq-tested-explained/https://backtestd.com/media/en/ny-open-12-ema-nasdaq-tested-explained.jpgThe New York open strategy (part 1)This is the Nasdaq, one candle every 15 minutes. At 9:30, New York opens. The first candle sets the direction. The 12 EMA: the average of the last 12 candles, recent ones count more. First candle closes above the 12 EMA: buy. Below it: sell. Then the stop follows the trend.https://backtestd.com/media/en/ny-open-12-ema-nasdaq-tested-explained.mp4342026-10-26T20:38:29+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/ny-open-12-ema-nasdaq-tested/https://backtestd.com/media/en/ny-open-12-ema-nasdaq-tested.jpgInstagram's favorite Nasdaq strategy, testedWait for the NY open, buy above the 12 EMA, trail the stop. We tested 28 versions on 2.7 years of Nasdaq data, costs included: 96% lost money.https://backtestd.com/media/en/ny-open-12-ema-nasdaq-tested.mp4692026-10-26T21:12:53+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/why-traders-lose-market/https://backtestd.com/media/en/why-traders-lose-market.jpgThe market: why traders loseAcross millions of simulated trades, buying while Bitcoin rose made plus 0.11 R per trade. Selling made minus 0.09. When Bitcoin went sideways, both sides were close to zero. And when it fell, even shorts lost 0.10 R per trade. Most of the profit was the market's rise, not the strategy.https://backtestd.com/media/en/why-traders-lose-market.mp4482026-10-26T23:08:12+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/from-zero-01-candle/https://backtestd.com/media/en/from-zero-01-candle.jpgWhat does one candle really tell you?We checked 1,332 days of Bitcoin: after a green day, the next day was green 48% of the time; after a red day, 52%. Trading from Zero, episode 1.https://backtestd.com/media/en/from-zero-01-candle.mp4672026-10-27T08:52:45+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/from-zero-02-timeframes/https://backtestd.com/media/en/from-zero-02-timeframes.jpgWhy does the same chart look calm in days and wild in 15 minutes?We measured 169,159 Bitcoin candles since 2022: on 15 minutes, 62% moved less than one trade costs (fees + slippage, 0.14%); on one day, 9%. Trading from Zero, episode 2.https://backtestd.com/media/en/from-zero-02-timeframes.mp4642026-10-27T09:42:41+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/from-zero-03-trend/https://backtestd.com/media/en/from-zero-03-trend.jpgWhat is a trend, really?Trend = price above its 50-day average. Over 1,254 days of Bitcoin, the next 30 days averaged +4.1% above it, +3.5% below. Trading from Zero, episode 3.https://backtestd.com/media/en/from-zero-03-trend.mp4562026-10-27T12:22:09+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/why-traders-lose-fees/https://backtestd.com/media/en/why-traders-lose-fees.jpgFees: why traders lose18% of our fast, 15-minute strategies made money. Then we added fees. 4%. The faster you trade, the more fees you pay per unit of risk. On daily candles, 59% of versions survived fees. On 15-minute candles, 4%.https://backtestd.com/media/en/why-traders-lose-fees.mp4262026-10-27T12:24:54+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/fair-value-gap-fvg-tested-explained/https://backtestd.com/media/en/fair-value-gap-fvg-tested-explained.jpgWhat is a Fair Value Gap? (part 1)Look at three candles. The middle one is huge. Traders call it displacement. Between the first candle's high and the third candle's low, price left a gap. That's the Fair Value Gap. The idea: price comes back to fill the gap… …and bounces. You buy inside the gap, with a stop just below it.https://backtestd.com/media/en/fair-value-gap-fvg-tested-explained.mp4332026-10-27T15:21:50+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/fair-value-gap-fvg-tested/https://backtestd.com/media/en/fair-value-gap-fvg-tested.jpgFair value gap (FVG): we tested 772 versionsFair value gap (FVG): 772 versions tested on 24 markets over 2.7 years, fees included. 50% made money.https://backtestd.com/media/en/fair-value-gap-fvg-tested.mp4852026-10-27T15:43:28+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/why-traders-lose-tight-stops/https://backtestd.com/media/en/why-traders-lose-tight-stops.jpgTight stops: why traders loseTight stops feel safe. In our tests, only 15% of versions with stops under 2% of price made money. Wider stops did better at every step: 61% of versions with stops over 8% made money. A tight stop gets hit by noise, and every hit costs fees.https://backtestd.com/media/en/why-traders-lose-tight-stops.mp4302026-10-27T16:24:39+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/smc-golden-zone-fibonacci-tested-explained/https://backtestd.com/media/en/smc-golden-zone-fibonacci-tested-explained.jpgThe SMC golden zone strategy (part 1)This coin was falling. Lower highs, lower lows. Then price closes above the last high. Traders call it a change of character. It breaks the next high too. A break of structure: the trend is now up. Draw a Fibonacci from the low to the new high. Between 50 and 61.8 percent: the golden zone. Price comes back into the zone: buy. Stop just below it. Target: the 1.272 extension.https://backtestd.com/media/en/smc-golden-zone-fibonacci-tested-explained.mp4402026-10-27T17:21:05+00:00https://backtestd.com/en/videos/smc-golden-zone-fibonacci-tested/https://backtestd.com/media/en/smc-golden-zone-fibonacci-tested.jpgSMC golden zone (Fibonacci): we tested 432 versionsSMC golden zone (Fibonacci): 432 versions tested on 42 markets over 2.7 years, fees included. 1% made money.https://backtestd.com/media/en/smc-golden-zone-fibonacci-tested.mp4912026-10-27T18:23:02+00:00