# Troy horse ICT method backtest: 64 versions tested (2022–2025)

Source: https://backtestd.com/en/troy-horse-ict-method-tested/  
Published 2026-10-30 · updated 2026-10-30 · Backtestd (Thomas Jamais)

## Does troy horse ICT method work?

No, not in our test. We coded the rule, tested 64 versions of it on 30 crypto perpetual futures, 10 stock indices, 12 currency pairs and 3 commodities from 2022 to 2025, fees, slippage and funding included. 100% of the versions lost money. The best version did not survive older data it had never seen (2020–2022).

## Key facts

- **Versions tested**: 64
- **Markets**: 30 crypto perpetual futures, 10 stock indices, 12 currency pairs and 3 commodities
- **Period**: 2022-11-10 → 2025-07-09
- **Candles**: 15m
- **Costs**: fees, slippage and funding on every trade
- **Versions that lost money**: 100%
- **Verdict**: No edge after costs

## The rule people share

London close stays inside the New York morning range. Then trade the retest of a fair value gap toward the morning low.

## Why “the best version” misleads

With 64 versions, some look good by luck alone. The typical version made -0.105 R per trade; the best made -0.082. If the rule had no edge at all, the spread of results would look like this anyway: the best of many random tries always looks impressive. That is why we never trust the best version until it works on data it was not chosen on.

## Limitations

- A backtest is not live trading: fills, outages and your own discipline differ.
- We test the rule as written; a trader's discretion is not testable.
- Markets change. A rule that failed here could work elsewhere, and the reverse.
- Costs depend on your exchange and size; ours are typical retail perpetual-futures costs.

## Data (CSV, CC BY 4.0)

- Trades: https://backtestd.com/data/troy-horse-ict-method-tested-trades.csv
- Every number: https://backtestd.com/data/troy-horse-ict-method-tested.json
- Method: https://backtestd.com/en/method/

Cite as: Backtestd, "Troy horse ICT method backtest: 64 versions tested (2022–2025)", 2026-10-30, https://backtestd.com/en/troy-horse-ict-method-tested/

_Educational content based on historical backtests. Not financial advice. Past results do not predict future results. Trading leveraged products can lose more than you invest._